DAX 40 Technical Analysis Today
Summary
The DAX 40 is trading at 24,981.34, down 0.91% on the day, after extending a swing decline from 25,232.18 to 25,232.18 to a low of 24,952.29. Price sits just above the nearest swing-low support and well beneath a dense resistance cluster overhead. The overall bias is bearish with high confidence, scoring -7 on the composite model.
Key levels — confluence zones
Zones where several technical levels cluster together (moving averages, SuperTrend, Fibonacci retracements, previous-day range, swing points). More converging levels mean a more relevant zone.
| Resistance | Levels | Strength |
|---|---|---|
| 25,059.21–25,248.92 | Fib 38.2% + Fib 50.0% + Fib 61.8% + Swing low + Previous-day low + SMA20 + Swing high + SuperTrend | ●●●● |
| 25,313.76–25,350.13 | Elliott invalidation + SMA50 | ●● |
| 25,576.42–25,617.31 | SMA200 + Previous-day high + Swing high | ●●● |
| Support | Levels | Strength |
|---|---|---|
| 24,952.29 | Swing low | ● |
| 24,831.60 | Swing low | ● |
Trend
All three moving averages are stacked bearishly above price: SMA20 at 25,216.11, SMA50 at 25,350.13, and SMA200 at 25,576.42. SuperTrend has flipped to a downward direction at 25,248.92, reinforcing the sell side. The 1-hour Ichimoku regime confirms price is below the cloud, with a bull score of 0 and a bear score of 4.
| Indicator | Value | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| SMA 20 | 25,216.11 | price below |
| SMA 50 | 25,350.13 | price below |
| SMA 200 | 25,576.42 | price below |
| SuperTrend (10,3) | 25,248.92 | bearish |
| Ichimoku 4H | below the cloud | 0/4 bullish · 4/4 bearish |
Momentum
RSI has dropped to 32.9, approaching oversold territory but not yet reversing. MACD reads -106.971 against a signal of -89.601, with the histogram deepening in negative territory, indicating that bearish momentum remains active and no divergence signal has emerged.
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 32.9 |
| MACD / signal | -106.971 / -89.6 |
Structure — swing, Fibonacci and Elliott Wave
The most recent swing ran downward from 25,232.18 to 24,952.29. Fibonacci retracement levels of that leg sit at 25,059.21 (38.2%), 25,092.23 (50.0%), and 25,125.26 (61.8%), all clustered inside the key resistance zone above. Elliott wave analysis labels current price action as Wave A, the first corrective leg, with invalidation at 25,313.76.
| Element | Level |
|---|---|
| Last swing | 25,232.18 → 24,952.29 (down) |
| Fibonacci 38.2% | 25,059.21 |
| Fibonacci 50.0% | 25,092.23 |
| Fibonacci 61.8% | 25,125.26 |
| Elliott Wave | Wave 🅐 — First Corrective Leg |
| Elliott invalidation | 25,313.76 |
Trade scenarios
Educational scenarios built from the confluence zones. Entry, stop and target are calculated by our engine; risk/reward is computed from the published numbers, and scenarios with an unfavourable ratio are flagged rather than presented as opportunities.
| Scenario | Entry | Stop | Target | R:R | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bullish aggressive (pullback) | 24,952.29 | 24,892.44 | 25,059.21 | 1.79:1 | acceptable |
| Bearish aggressive (rejection) | 25,059.21 | 25,308.77 | 24,952.29 | 0.43:1 | unfavourable |
| Bullish conservative (breakout) | 25,278.85 | 24,999.36 | 25,313.76 | 0.12:1 | unfavourable |
| Bearish conservative (breakdown) | 24,922.37 | 25,012.14 | 24,831.60 | 1.01:1 | unfavourable |
Outlook and confirmation
A bearish continuation is confirmed on a clean break below the trigger at 24,952.29, opening the path toward 24,831.60. Bulls would need a reclaim above 25,248.92 to challenge the picture. The only scenario with a favourable risk/reward is the long pullback from 24,952.29, targeting 25,059.21 with an R/R of 1.79, though it runs against the prevailing high-confidence bearish bias and the dense resistance cluster overhead.
FAQ
What is the DAX 40 trend today?
On the 1-hour chart our engine reads a bearish bias with high confidence (score -7/7), based on moving averages, MACD, RSI, SuperTrend and the 4-hour Ichimoku context. DAX 40 trades at 24,981.34.
What are the key support levels for DAX 40?
The nearest support zones are 24,952.29, 24,831.60.
What are the key resistance levels for DAX 40?
The nearest resistance zones are 25,059.21–25,248.92, 25,313.76–25,350.13, 25,576.42–25,617.31.
What would confirm a move in DAX 40?
An hourly close above 25,248.92 would confirm the bullish case. An hourly close below 24,952.29 would confirm the bearish case.
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