XenosFinance
Market analysis & trading education
Home › Daily Analysis › Nasdaq Composite

Nasdaq Composite Technical Analysis Today

Updated 02 Oct 2026, 05:16 UTC · 1-hour chart with 4-hour context · Indices
Nasdaq Holds Above Support as Bullish Bias Persists
NASDAQ 26,878.79 +0.05% · ATR(14) 120.41
BiasBullishConfidence medium · score +3/7

Summary

The Nasdaq Composite is trading at 26,878.79, up just 0.05% on the day. Price sits within the prior day's range (26,866.44–27,107.65) and is testing the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 26,891.14 after a swing from 26,736.46 to 26,986.76. The overall technical bias remains bullish with medium confidence, with key support clustered near 26,710.69–26,772.90.

Key levels — confluence zones

Zones where several technical levels cluster together (moving averages, SuperTrend, Fibonacci retracements, previous-day range, swing points). More converging levels mean a more relevant zone.

ResistanceLevelsStrength
26,986.76–26,990.02Swing high + Swing high●●
27,107.65Previous-day high + Swing high●●
SupportLevelsStrength
26,710.69–26,772.90Swing low + Swing low + Swing low + Elliott invalidation + SuperTrend●●●●
26,490.40SMA200●

Trend

Price trades above the SMA200 (26,490.40), confirming the long-term uptrend, though it sits fractionally below both the SMA20 (26,896.86) and SMA50 (26,921.83), signalling near-term softness. SuperTrend remains pointed upward with a floor at 26,772.90. The 4-hour Ichimoku regime is classified as above-cloud with a bull score of 3 versus a bear score of 1, reinforcing the constructive backdrop.

IndicatorValueReading
SMA 2026,896.86price below
SMA 5026,921.83price below
SMA 20026,490.40price above
SuperTrend (10,3)26,772.90bullish
Ichimoku 4Habove the cloud3/4 bullish · 1/4 bearish

Momentum

RSI at 55.1 is comfortably in neutral-bullish territory, neither overbought nor oversold. MACD reads -3.184 against a signal of -0.04, indicating a marginal bearish cross that warrants monitoring but does not negate the broader bias. Volume ratio at 1.1 reflects slightly above-average participation.

IndicatorValue
RSI (14)55.1
MACD / signal-3.184 / -0.04
Volume vs 40-bar average×1.1

Structure — swing, Fibonacci and Elliott Wave

The most recent swing ran from 26,736.46 to 26,986.76. Price is currently pulling back toward the 38.2% level (26,891.14), with the 50% (26,861.61) and 61.8% (26,832.07) retracements providing deeper support layers. Elliott wave context places price in Wave A, a first corrective leg, with invalidation at 26,750.74 and a probability estimate of 50%.

ElementLevel
Last swing26,736.46 → 26,986.76 (up)
Fibonacci 38.2%26,891.14
Fibonacci 50.0%26,861.61
Fibonacci 61.8%26,832.07
Elliott WaveWave 🅐 — First Corrective Leg
Elliott invalidation26,750.74

Trade scenarios

Educational scenarios built from the confluence zones. Entry, stop and target are calculated by our engine; risk/reward is computed from the published numbers, and scenarios with an unfavourable ratio are flagged rather than presented as opportunities.

ScenarioEntryStopTargetR:RQuality
Bullish aggressive (pullback)26,772.9026,650.4926,986.761.75:1acceptable
Bearish aggressive (rejection)26,986.7627,050.2226,772.903.37:1good
Bullish conservative (breakout)27,020.1226,926.5627,107.650.94:1unfavourable
Bearish conservative (breakdown)26,680.5926,833.1026,490.401.25:1unfavourable

Outlook and confirmation

A sustained hold above 26,772.90 keeps the bullish scenario alive; a push through 26,990.02 would be the confirming trigger. The short-rejection scenario at 26,986.76 (target 26,772.90, R/R 3.37) offers the most favourable risk/reward of the four setups. Bears need a break below 26,710.69 to shift the narrative. The long-breakout and short-breakdown scenarios both carry poor quality ratings and less favourable R/R profiles.

▲ Bullish confirmation: hourly close above 26,990.02
▼ Bearish confirmation: hourly close below 26,710.69

FAQ

What is the Nasdaq Composite trend today?

On the 1-hour chart our engine reads a bullish bias with medium confidence (score +3/7), based on moving averages, MACD, RSI, SuperTrend and the 4-hour Ichimoku context. Nasdaq Composite trades at 26,878.79.

What are the key support levels for Nasdaq Composite?

The nearest support zones are 26,710.69–26,772.90, 26,490.40.

What are the key resistance levels for Nasdaq Composite?

The nearest resistance zones are 26,986.76–26,990.02, 27,107.65.

What would confirm a move in Nasdaq Composite?

An hourly close above 26,990.02 would confirm the bullish case. An hourly close below 26,710.69 would confirm the bearish case.

Live intraday analysis. For a 15-minute read updated every candle, open the XenosFinance dashboard and click any instrument. Daily briefs and Elliott Wave studies are published on our Telegram channel.

Other daily analyses

GoldSilverWTI Crude OilBrent Crude OilNatural GasCopperEUR/USDGBP/USDUSD/JPYUSD/CHFBitcoinEthereumS&P 500DAX 40
Educational content only. This analysis is generated algorithmically from public market data for market analysis and trading education purposes and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Trading involves a significant risk of loss. © XenosFinance