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Silver Technical Analysis Today

Updated 02 Oct 2026, 05:16 UTC · 1-hour chart with 4-hour context · Commodities
Silver Stalls Near Resistance as Bearish Bias Persists
XAG/USD 61.550 +1.54% · ATR(14) 0.417
BiasBearishConfidence low · score -2/7

Summary

Silver trades at 61.55, up 1.54% on the day, but remains technically fragile. Price is consolidating just below the previous day's high of 61.75 and sits within a dense support cluster between 60.999 and 61.271. The overall bias is bearish with low confidence, keeping the burden of proof on bulls to demonstrate sustained follow-through above current levels.

Key levels — confluence zones

Zones where several technical levels cluster together (moving averages, SuperTrend, Fibonacci retracements, previous-day range, swing points). More converging levels mean a more relevant zone.

ResistanceLevelsStrength
63.483SMA200●
SupportLevelsStrength
60.999–61.271Fib 61.8% + Fib 50.0% + SMA50 + SMA20 + Fib 38.2%●●●●
60.560–60.690Previous-day low + Swing low + Swing low + Swing low●●●●

Trend

Both SMA20 (61.172) and SMA50 (61.147) sit just beneath price, offering near-term dynamic support, but the SMA200 at 63.483 towers above as major resistance. SuperTrend is currently pointing down at 61.882, capping upside on the hourly. The 4-hour Ichimoku context confirms a below-cloud regime with a bear score of 4 and a bull score of 0, reinforcing the prevailing bearish structure.

IndicatorValueReading
SMA 2061.172price above
SMA 5061.147price above
SMA 20063.483price below
SuperTrend (10,3)61.882bearish
Ichimoku 4Hbelow the cloud0/4 bullish · 4/4 bearish

Momentum

RSI stands at 51.1, neutral territory offering no directional edge. MACD at 0.0456 has crossed above its signal line of 0.023, a modest positive crossover, but the reading remains marginal. Volume ratio of 0.31 signals well-below-average participation, cautioning against reading too much into the intraday bounce.

IndicatorValue
RSI (14)51.1
MACD / signal0.0456 / 0.023
Volume vs 40-bar average×0.31

Structure — swing, Fibonacci and Elliott Wave

The active swing runs from 60.56 to 61.71 to the upside. Elliott wave positioning identifies this as Wave A, a first corrective leg with 51% probability, invalidated above 65.48. Fibonacci retracement levels cluster tightly: 38.2% at 61.271, 50.0% at 61.135, and 61.8% at 60.999, forming a high-confluence support zone that price is currently testing from above.

ElementLevel
Last swing60.560 → 61.710 (up)
Fibonacci 38.2%61.271
Fibonacci 50.0%61.135
Fibonacci 61.8%60.999
Elliott WaveWave 🅐 — First Corrective Leg
Elliott invalidation65.480

Trade scenarios

Educational scenarios built from the confluence zones. Entry, stop and target are calculated by our engine; risk/reward is computed from the published numbers, and scenarios with an unfavourable ratio are flagged rather than presented as opportunities.

ScenarioEntryStopTargetR:RQuality
Bullish aggressive (pullback)61.27160.79163.4834.61:1good
Bearish aggressive (rejection)63.48363.69161.27110.63:1good
Bullish conservative (breakout)63.58763.27464.2132.00:1good
Bearish conservative (breakdown)60.89561.47960.6900.35:1unfavourable

Outlook and confirmation

A hold above 60.999 keeps the long pullback scenario viable, targeting the SMA200 at 63.483 with an R/R of 4.61. A rejection from 63.483 opens the short rejection setup targeting 61.271, offering an R/R of 10.63. The bearish trigger activates on a close below 60.999; the bullish trigger requires a breakout above 63.483. The short breakdown below 60.895 carries poor R/R at 0.35 and warrants caution.

▲ Bullish confirmation: hourly close above 63.483
▼ Bearish confirmation: hourly close below 60.999

FAQ

What is the Silver trend today?

On the 1-hour chart our engine reads a bearish bias with low confidence (score -2/7), based on moving averages, MACD, RSI, SuperTrend and the 4-hour Ichimoku context. Silver trades at 61.550.

What are the key support levels for Silver?

The nearest support zones are 60.999–61.271, 60.560–60.690.

What are the key resistance levels for Silver?

The nearest resistance zones are 63.483.

What would confirm a move in Silver?

An hourly close above 63.483 would confirm the bullish case. An hourly close below 60.999 would confirm the bearish case.

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